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环球ug会员开户(www.ugbet.us):Slow FDI inflow likely

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Sunway University professor of economics Yeah Kim Leng

PETALING JAYA: Foreign direct investment (FDI), which saw a strong growth in the first nine months of this year, could face speed bumps in 2023 that may reduce inflows into the country as foreign investors withhold their spending.

On top of the looming recessionary risk, economists agree the tighter global monetary and financial conditions, coupled with the uncertainties following the Russia-Ukraine war, could affect FDI flows into Malaysia.

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Sunway University professor of economics Yeah Kim Leng told StarBiz that with the rapid deceleration of the world economy, FDI flows into Malaysia is expected to decline in 2023 amid rising global recession risk and tighter monetary and financial conditions.

He said rising global risk aversion and risk-off sentiments would likely cause foreign investors to delay or postpone both greenfield and brownfield investment projects.

Yeah said global capital flows, both portfolio and direct investments, typically dip during a global downturn.

“The decline in inward FDI into Malaysia was particularly seen during the Covid-19 global recession in 2020, when the annual FDI inflow fell by 59% to RM13.3bil but rose 263% to RM48.1bil in 2021 in tandem with the strong global recovery.

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“The FDI inflow has remained strong in the first three quarters of this year, rising 82% to RM54bil,” Yeah added.

However, he said the decline in the FDI flows expected in 2023 is unlikely to mirror the sharp fall experienced during the global recession in 2020.

The anticipated inflow next year is also not expected to exceed the flow for this year due to further policy tightening needed to combat high inflation and uncertainties over food and fuel supplies amid the continuing Russia-Ukraine war, he noted.

He said factors that would mitigate against a repeat of the 2020 FDI slump include the continuation of multinational companies’ diversification of production bases and the diversion of trade and investment to Asean countries as a shield against the risks of the continuing US-China economic rivalry and potential decoupling.

“Another tailwind for Malaysia could arise from the positive re-rating of growth and investment prospects following the formation of the unity government and its emphasis on reinvigorating the economy and attracting quality foreign investment,“ Yeah said.

Malaysian Institute of Economic Research head of research Shankaran Nambiar.

Malaysian Institute of Economic Research head of research Shankaran Nambiar agrees that the FDI numbers in 2023 may not be as robust as they were this year.

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